Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.013904 0.016158 0.018647 0.021597 0.024997 0.028790 0.033341
2026-01-11 0.010202 0.013020 0.016417 0.020808 0.026326 0.033023 0.041765
2026-01-18 0.007945 0.010998 0.014970 0.020501 0.027988 0.037752 0.051438
2026-01-25 0.006260 0.009315 0.013568 0.019894 0.029032 0.041723 0.060651
2026-02-01 0.005088 0.008079 0.012503 0.019480 0.030162 0.045845 0.070552
2026-02-08 0.004253 0.007163 0.011710 0.019272 0.031470 0.050292 0.081431
2026-02-15 0.003542 0.006302 0.010837 0.018757 0.032160 0.053805 0.091252
2026-02-22 0.003202 0.005986 0.010775 0.019517 0.034962 0.060946 0.107732
2026-03-01 0.002793 0.005474 0.010293 0.019466 0.036345 0.065860 0.121043
2026-03-08 0.002362 0.004845 0.009500 0.018724 0.036374 0.068395 0.130450
2026-03-15 0.002073 0.004439 0.009051 0.018541 0.037373 0.072727 0.143560
2026-03-22 0.001954 0.004352 0.009196 0.019515 0.040681 0.081675 0.166329
2026-03-29 0.001792 0.004155 0.009107 0.020027 0.043194 0.089494 0.188064
2026-04-05 0.001555 0.003753 0.008534 0.019455 0.043418 0.092847 0.201336
2026-04-12 0.001381 0.003464 0.008160 0.019251 0.044385 0.097807 0.218508
2026-04-19 0.001207 0.003147 0.007673 0.018723 0.044564 0.101127 0.232593
2026-04-26 0.001067 0.002888 0.007282 0.018354 0.045046 0.105137 0.248638
2026-05-03 0.000957 0.002684 0.006988 0.018170 0.045920 0.110098 0.267373
2026-05-10 0.000845 0.002455 0.006597 0.017689 0.046017 0.113292 0.282406
2026-05-17 0.000805 0.002414 0.006678 0.018410 0.049159 0.123944 0.316283
2026-05-24 0.000733 0.002273 0.006474 0.018363 0.050353 0.130074 0.339932
2026-05-31 0.000643 0.002061 0.006050 0.017663 0.049763 0.131758 0.352764
2026-06-07 0.000583 0.001930 0.005829 0.017490 0.050549 0.136980 0.375171